Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 5.739525 6.299264 6.914654 7.646098 8.497940 9.466358 10.661715
2024-10-20 4.719098 5.433735 6.279317 7.370459 8.766945 10.532180 12.997805
2024-10-27 4.154761 4.932781 5.898565 7.216608 9.021294 11.493197 15.309995
2024-11-03 3.785693 4.600609 5.650347 7.148354 9.317144 12.501171 17.890451
2024-11-10 3.654524 4.546246 5.738971 7.522307 10.264792 14.619292 22.848440
2024-11-17 3.472936 4.399162 5.675085 7.655654 10.857821 16.299157 27.681991
2024-11-24 3.243731 4.162540 5.455580 7.519130 10.984657 17.196128 31.333944
2024-12-01 3.062836 3.977416 5.290128 7.440228 11.184967 18.260013 35.838775
2024-12-08 2.883587 3.780400 5.088191 7.276156 11.204027 18.967388 39.837192
2024-12-15 2.755460 3.648471 4.972612 7.238549 11.442261 20.179179 45.937207
2024-12-22 2.642552 3.531072 4.869043 7.207670 11.684546 21.460513 53.180456
2024-12-29 2.582921 3.489295 4.879743 7.373770 12.338485 23.891395 66.654699
2025-01-05 2.426383 3.298002 4.649241 7.109053 12.118375 24.227820 72.982003
2025-01-12 2.284911 3.124072 4.438228 6.865208 11.919789 24.616782 80.497335
2025-01-19 2.176560 2.995471 4.292472 6.726869 11.928309 25.593427 92.741675
2025-01-26 2.091719 2.898970 4.193135 6.665351 12.098978 27.119260 111.529276
2025-02-02 2.081606 2.920449 4.294245 7.002150 13.268152 32.347350 175.334754
2025-02-09 2.036181 2.881584 4.287363 7.122046 13.937567 36.319060 254.720876
2025-02-16 1.957253 2.783383 4.168950 6.999293 13.957126 37.865459 317.155153
2025-02-23 1.891589 2.704047 4.079307 6.928299 14.104793 40.058965 420.931009
2025-03-02 1.819494 2.610722 3.958965 6.780551 14.016274 41.212163 525.543672
2025-03-09 1.767825 2.549551 3.893766 6.746663 14.247640 44.041053 775.032476
2025-03-16 1.720197 2.493104 3.833909 6.718831 14.493965 47.170658 1243.308133